Weapons and wealth: Market reaction to Europe’s defense push

This paper analyzes abnormal returns around the EU’s Readiness 2030 defense initiative. Defense stocks saw strong positive returns, especially pre-announcement, while high-tech firms showed weak or negative returns—indicating no spillover effect to the tech sector and underscoring the role of industry classification in market reactions. • European defense stocks outperformed the market around the Readiness 2030 announcement. • CARs suggest investors likely anticipated the policy announcement. • Results are robust across indices and supported by cross-sectional analysis.

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Publication Details

Journal
Economics Letters
Published
2025-08-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2025.112538
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Defense, Military, and Policy Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
6.26
Controls
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article

Weapons and wealth: Market reaction to Europe’s defense push

Nicola Comincioli, Massimiliano Rizzati, Michael Donadelli
2 citations
Economics Letters
Defense, Military, and Policy Studies
6.26
article

Weapons and wealth: Market reaction to Europe’s defense push

Nicola Comincioli, Massimiliano Rizzati, Michael Donadelli
article en
2 citations

Abstract

This paper analyzes abnormal returns around the EU’s Readiness 2030 defense initiative. Defense stocks saw strong positive returns, especially pre-announcement, while high-tech firms showed weak or negative returns—indicating no spillover effect to the tech sector and underscoring the role of industry classification in market reactions. • European defense stocks outperformed the market around the Readiness 2030 announcement. • CARs suggest investors likely anticipated the policy announcement. • Results are robust across indices and supported by cross-sectional analysis.

Economics LettersVol. 255
Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (IT), University of Brescia (IT)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Defense, Military, and Policy Studies
6.26
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