Urban Stadiums as Multi-Scale Cool-Island Anchors: A Remote Sensing-Based Thermal Regulation Analysis in Shanghai

The intensification of urban heat in high-density cities has raised growing concerns for public health, infrastructural resilience, and environmental sustainability. As large-scale, multi-functional open spaces, sports stadiums play an underexplored role in shaping urban thermal patterns. This study investigates the spatial and temporal thermal characteristics of eight representative stadiums in central Shanghai and the Pudong New Area from 2018 to 2023. A dual-framework approach is proposed: the Stadium-based Urban Island Regulation (SUIR) model conceptualizes stadiums as active cooling agents across micro to macro spatial scales, while the Multi-source Thermal Cognition System (MTCS) integrates multi-sensor satellite data—Landsat, MODIS, Sentinel-1/2—with anthropogenic and ecological indicators to diagnose surface temperature dynamics. Remote sensing fusion and machine learning analyses reveal clear intra-stadium thermal heterogeneity: track zones consistently recorded the highest land surface temperatures (up to 37.5 °C), while grass fields exhibited strong cooling effects (as low as 29.8 °C). Buffer analysis shows that cooling effects were most pronounced within 300–500 m, varying with local morphology. A spatial diffusion model further demonstrates that stadiums with large, vegetated buffers or proximity to water bodies exert a broader regional cooling influence. Correlation and Random Forest regression analyses identify the building volume (r = 0.81), NDVI (r = −0.53), nighttime light intensity, and traffic density as key thermal drivers. These findings offer new insight into the role of stadiums in urban heat mitigation and provide practical implications for scale-sensitive, climate-adaptive urban planning strategies.