Integrating Multi-Source Data for Aviation Noise Prediction: A Hybrid CNN–BiLSTM–Attention Model Approach

Driven by the increasing global population and rapid urbanization, aircraft noise pollution has emerged as a significant environmental challenge, impeding the sustainable development of the aviation industry. Traditional noise prediction methods are limited by incomplete datasets, insufficient spatiotemporal consistency, and poor adaptability to complex meteorological conditions, making it difficult to achieve precise noise management. To address these limitations, this study proposes a novel noise prediction framework based on a hybrid Convolutional Neural Network-Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory-Attention (CNN-BiLSTM-Attention) model. By integrating multi-source data, including meteorological parameters (e.g., temperature, humidity, wind speed) and aircraft trajectory data (e.g., altitude, longitude, latitude), the framework achieves high-precision prediction of aircraft noise. The Haversine formula and inverse distance weighting (IDW) interpolation are employed to effectively supplement missing data, while spatiotemporal alignment techniques ensure data consistency. The CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model leverages the spatial feature extraction capabilities of CNNs, the bidirectional temporal sequence processing capabilities of BiLSTMs, and the context-enhancing properties of the attention mechanism to capture the spatiotemporal characteristics of noise. The experimental results indicate that the model's predicted mean value of 68.66 closely approximates the actual value of 68.16, with a minimal difference of 0.5 and a mean absolute error of 0.89%. Notably, the error remained below 2% in 91.4% of the prediction rounds. Furthermore, ablation studies revealed that the complete CNN-BiLSTM-AM model significantly outperformed single-structure models. The incorporation of the attention mechanism was found to markedly enhance both the accuracy and generalization capability of the model. These findings highlight the model's robust performance and reliability in predicting aviation noise. This study provides a scientific basis for effective aviation noise management and offers an innovative solution for addressing noise prediction problems under data-scarce conditions.