Unraveling Nonlinear Interactions: A <scp>DPSIR</scp>‐Based Conceptual Model for Synergistic Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Coastal Blue Carbon Ecosystems
Coastal blue carbon ecosystems (BCEs) face accelerating degradation from synergistic climate-human pressures, threatening their carbon sink function. This review synthesizes nonlinear interactions governing BCE carbon cycles by developing a novel DPSIR (Drivers-Pressures-State-Impacts-Responses) conceptual model. Our framework integrates biogeochemical processes (e.g., photosynthesis, carbonate dynamics) and physical transport mechanisms (e.g., lateral carbon fluxes) to elucidate multi-factor couplings-such as nutrient pollution, hydrological alteration, and species interactions-that drive spatiotemporal variability in carbon storage. Crucially, we identify how anthropogenic drivers amplify biogeochemical feedback loops that destabilize carbon sequestration, while restoration strategies can rebuild resilience. To enhance monitoring efficacy, greenhouse gas flux periodicity and CO<sub>2</sub>/CH<sub>4</sub> emission ratios are proposed as diagnostic indicators for BCE health assessment. The analysis reveals persistent knowledge gaps in quantifying inorganic carbon cycling, microbial responses under warming, and cross-system carbon fluxes. We emphasize that effective conservation requires integrated policies balancing blue economy development with science-based management, such as payment for ecosystem services and bioremediation. This DPSIR model advances a holistic understanding of BCE carbon-climate feedbacks, providing a foundation for safeguarding these critical ecosystems under global change.
Authors
- Ke Cao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6780-5602)
- Xiaoyong Duan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2666-015X)
- Бин Чэн (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3496-2876)
- Ping Yin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4061-0295)
- Gang Tong
- Xingliang He
Institutions
- Ministry of Natural Resources (CN)
- China Geological Survey (CN)
- Qingdao Institute of Marine Geology (CN)
- Ministry of Natural Resources (RW)
- Ocean University of China (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Global Change Biology
- Published
- 2025-08-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70432
- Citations
- 4
- Primary Topic
- Coastal wetland ecosystem dynamics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 6.87
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China
- National Key Research and Development Program of China