The multivariate shared truncated normal frailty model with application to medical data

A new multivariate shared frailty model based on the truncated normal distribution is proposed. For the basal distribution of failure times, we assume a parametric approach through the Weibull and piecewise exponential distributions and also a nonparametric approach. Similar to the traditional gamma frailty model, the Laplace transform, the hazard and survival functions of our proposal have a simple and closed form. In addition, the n-th derivative of the Laplace transform can be expressed recursively. Parameter estimation is performed by a classical approach through the EM algorithm. A simulation study is presented to demonstrate the consistency of the estimators in finite samples. Finally, two applications to medical data modelling the recurrence of infection in renal patients and patients with fibrosarcoma are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the model compared to other classical approaches in the literature. The computational implementation of the model is available in the extrafrail package of R.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-08-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-15903-y
Primary Topic
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

The multivariate shared truncated normal frailty model with application to medical data

Marcelo Bourguignon, Diego Ignacio Gallardo, Osvaldo Venegas, Yolanda M. Gómez et al.
1 links
Scientific Reports
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
article

The multivariate shared truncated normal frailty model with application to medical data

Marcelo Bourguignon, Diego Ignacio Gallardo, Osvaldo Venegas, Yolanda M. Gómez, John L. Santibáñez
article en

Abstract

A new multivariate shared frailty model based on the truncated normal distribution is proposed. For the basal distribution of failure times, we assume a parametric approach through the Weibull and piecewise exponential distributions and also a nonparametric approach. Similar to the traditional gamma frailty model, the Laplace transform, the hazard and survival functions of our proposal have a simple and closed form. In addition, the n-th derivative of the Laplace transform can be expressed recursively. Parameter estimation is performed by a classical approach through the EM algorithm. A simulation study is presented to demonstrate the consistency of the estimators in finite samples. Finally, two applications to medical data modelling the recurrence of infection in renal patients and patients with fibrosarcoma are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the model compared to other classical approaches in the literature. The computational implementation of the model is available in the extrafrail package of R.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
University of Concepción (CL), University of Atacama (CL), Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte (BR), University of Bío-Bío (CL)
Agenția Națională pentru Cercetare și Dezvoltare, Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo, CHIST-ERA
Openalex Percentile: Top 62%
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
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The multivariate shared truncated normal frailty model with application to medical data — Marcelo Bourguignon, Diego Ignacio Gallardo, et al. · Scientific Reports (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS