Popper’s probability calculus and the decline of scientific disruptiveness
Abstract Research suggests that the disruptiveness of scientific research has declined over recent decades. Several explanations have been published for the decrease. In this paper, we add another explanation based on a probability calculus for explaining progress in science from the philosopher of science Karl Popper.
Authors
- Lutz Bornmann (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0810-7091)
- Russell J. Funk (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6670-4981)
Institutions
- University of Minnesota (US)
- Max Planck Society (DE)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Scientometrics
- Published
- 2025-08-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1007/s11192-025-05404-0
- Primary Topic
- Doctoral Education Challenges and Solutions
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00