EXTENDING ECONOMIC MODELS WITH TESTABLE ASSUMPTIONS: THEORY AND APPLICATIONS

This article studies the identification of complete economic models with testable assumptions. We start with a local average treatment effect ( $LATE$ ) model where the “No Defiers,” the independent IV assumption, and the exclusion restrictions can be jointly refuted by some data distributions. We propose two relaxed assumptions that are not refutable, with one assumption focusing on relaxing the “No Defiers” assumption while the other relaxes the independent IV assumption. The identified set of $LATE$ under either of the two relaxed assumptions coincides with the classical $LATE$ Wald ratio expression whenever the original assumption is not refuted by the observed data distribution. We propose an estimator for the identified $LATE$ and derive the estimator’s limit distribution. We then develop a general method to relax a refutable assumption A . This relaxation method requires finding a function that measures the deviation of an econometric structure from the original assumption A , and a relaxed assumption $\tilde {A}$ is constructed using this measure of deviation. We characterize a condition to ensure the identified sets under $\tilde {A}$ and A coincide whenever A is not refuted by the observed data distribution and discuss the criteria to choose among different relaxed assumptions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Econometric Theory
Published
2025-08-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/s0266466625100108
Primary Topic
Economic theories and models
Type
article
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article

EXTENDING ECONOMIC MODELS WITH TESTABLE ASSUMPTIONS: THEORY AND APPLICATIONS

Moyu Liao
Econometric Theory
Economic theories and models
article

EXTENDING ECONOMIC MODELS WITH TESTABLE ASSUMPTIONS: THEORY AND APPLICATIONS

Moyu Liao
article en

Abstract

This article studies the identification of complete economic models with testable assumptions. We start with a local average treatment effect ( $LATE$ ) model where the “No Defiers,” the independent IV assumption, and the exclusion restrictions can be jointly refuted by some data distributions. We propose two relaxed assumptions that are not refutable, with one assumption focusing on relaxing the “No Defiers” assumption while the other relaxes the independent IV assumption. The identified set of $LATE$ under either of the two relaxed assumptions coincides with the classical $LATE$ Wald ratio expression whenever the original assumption is not refuted by the observed data distribution. We propose an estimator for the identified $LATE$ and derive the estimator’s limit distribution. We then develop a general method to relax a refutable assumption A . This relaxation method requires finding a function that measures the deviation of an econometric structure from the original assumption A , and a relaxed assumption $\tilde {A}$ is constructed using this measure of deviation. We characterize a condition to ensure the identified sets under $\tilde {A}$ and A coincide whenever A is not refuted by the observed data distribution and discuss the criteria to choose among different relaxed assumptions.

Econometric Theory
The University of Sydney (AU)
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Economic theories and models
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EXTENDING ECONOMIC MODELS WITH TESTABLE ASSUMPTIONS: THEORY AND APPLICATIONS — Moyu Liao · Econometric Theory (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS