Monkeypox disease with saturated incidence rates: mathematical analysis

In this study, we explore the dynamics of monkeypox disease by developing and examining a deterministic mathematical model that describes the interactions between human and rodent populations. First, we demonstrate the well-posedness of the model. The basic reproduction number is expressed as a function of the human reproduction number and the rodent reproduction number. The problem admits three equilibria, namely the disease-free equilibrium, the human-only endemic equilibrium, and the endemic equilibrium. We then analyze the local and the global stability of those equilibria. To further assess the equilibria stability, different numerical simulations are executed in order to support the theoretical findings and to highlight the impact of different parameters in eradicating the disease.

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Publication Details

Journal
Gulf Journal of Mathematics
Published
2025-08-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.56947/gjom.v20i2.3248
Primary Topic
Poxvirus research and outbreaks
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Monkeypox disease with saturated incidence rates: mathematical analysis

Karam Allali, Sanaa Harroudi, Soumia El Moujaddid
Gulf Journal of Mathematics
Poxvirus research and outbreaks
article

Monkeypox disease with saturated incidence rates: mathematical analysis

Karam Allali, Sanaa Harroudi, Soumia El Moujaddid
article en

Abstract

In this study, we explore the dynamics of monkeypox disease by developing and examining a deterministic mathematical model that describes the interactions between human and rodent populations. First, we demonstrate the well-posedness of the model. The basic reproduction number is expressed as a function of the human reproduction number and the rodent reproduction number. The problem admits three equilibria, namely the disease-free equilibrium, the human-only endemic equilibrium, and the endemic equilibrium. We then analyze the local and the global stability of those equilibria. To further assess the equilibria stability, different numerical simulations are executed in order to support the theoretical findings and to highlight the impact of different parameters in eradicating the disease.

Gulf Journal of MathematicsVol. 20(2)
University of Hassan II Casablanca (MA)
Openalex Percentile: Top 77%
Poxvirus research and outbreaks
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Monkeypox disease with saturated incidence rates: mathematical analysis — Karam Allali, Sanaa Harroudi, et al. · Gulf Journal of Mathematics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS