How Digital Intelligence Integration Boosts Forestry Ecological Productivity: Evidence from China

In the context of the “Dual Carbon” goals and ecological civilization development, enhancing forestry ecological total factor productivity (FETFP) has become vital for advancing green development and environmental governance. Confronted with tightening resource constraints and pressure to transform traditional growth models, whether digital intelligence integration can effectively empower improvements in FETFP requires in-depth empirical validation. Based on publicly available panel data from 30 Chinese provinces spanning 2012 to 2022, this study constructs an index system for measuring digital intelligence integration and FETFP. Using the Double Machine Learning (DML) framework, the study empirically identifies the impact of digital intelligence development on FETFP and explores its internal mechanisms. The key results show that (1) digital intelligence integration significantly enhances FETFP. For every unit increase in digital and intelligent integration, FETFP rises by an average of 19.97%; (2) mechanism analysis reveals that digital intelligence improves FETFP by optimizing the forestry industrial structure, promoting green technological innovation, and amplifying the synergistic effects of fiscal support; (3) and heterogeneity analysis suggests that the positive impact of digital intelligence integration is more pronounced in regions with higher environmental expenditures and stronger green finance support. Accordingly, this study proposes several policy recommendations, including accelerating digital infrastructure development, strengthening foundational digital intelligence capabilities, enhancing support for green innovation, leveraging the ecological multiplier effects of digital transformation, tailoring digital strategies to local conditions, and improving the precision of regional environmental governance. The findings provide robust empirical evidence for improving FETFP in developing and developed economies.