Health in early adulthood and fertility: A study based on the 1958 British cohort

Health is rarely used as an explanatory variable in fertility studies in high-income contexts, unlike in low-income settings. Using the 1958 National Child Development Study, we explore how self-rated health (SRH) and body mass index (BMI) at age 23 relate to achievement of fertility goals by age 46. We find that worse SRH and a BMI outside the healthy range at age 23 are strongly associated with lower fertility and underachieving fertility goals. While poor SRH is associated with lower fertility mostly among men, BMI outside the healthy range at 23 is more significant for women. Additional analyses indicate that employment and union history partly mediate the effect of health on fertility, but health retains a substantive direct effect. Our findings suggest that health in early adulthood is an important determinant, whether direct or indirect, of family life-course trajectories. This paper endorses the inclusion of health as an explanatory variable in studies of fertility in high-income contexts.

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Publication Details

Journal
Population Studies
Published
2025-08-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2531819
Primary Topic
Birth, Development, and Health
Type
article
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article

Health in early adulthood and fertility: A study based on the 1958 British cohort

Giammarco Alderotti, Eleonora Trappolini, Alyce Raybould
Population Studies
Birth, Development, and Health
article

Health in early adulthood and fertility: A study based on the 1958 British cohort

Giammarco Alderotti, Eleonora Trappolini, Alyce Raybould
article en

Abstract

Health is rarely used as an explanatory variable in fertility studies in high-income contexts, unlike in low-income settings. Using the 1958 National Child Development Study, we explore how self-rated health (SRH) and body mass index (BMI) at age 23 relate to achievement of fertility goals by age 46. We find that worse SRH and a BMI outside the healthy range at age 23 are strongly associated with lower fertility and underachieving fertility goals. While poor SRH is associated with lower fertility mostly among men, BMI outside the healthy range at 23 is more significant for women. Additional analyses indicate that employment and union history partly mediate the effect of health on fertility, but health retains a substantive direct effect. Our findings suggest that health in early adulthood is an important determinant, whether direct or indirect, of family life-course trajectories. This paper endorses the inclusion of health as an explanatory variable in studies of fertility in high-income contexts.

Population StudiesVol. 80(1)
University of Florence (IT), University College London (GB), Sapienza University of Rome (IT)
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 70%
Birth, Development, and Health
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Health in early adulthood and fertility: A study based on the 1958 British cohort — Giammarco Alderotti, Eleonora Trappolini, et al. · Population Studies (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS