Deep-Learning-Based Multi-Channel Satellite Precipitation Forecasting Enhanced by Cloud Phase Classification

Clouds are closely related to precipitation, as their type, microphysical characteristics, and dynamic properties determine the intensity, duration, and form of rainfall. While geostationary satellites offer continuous cloud-top observations, they cannot capture the full three-dimensional structure of clouds, limiting the accuracy of precipitation forecasting based on geostationary satellite data. However, cloud–precipitation relationships contain valuable physical information that can be leveraged to improve forecasting performance. To further enhance the precision of satellite precipitation forecasting, this study proposes a multi-channel satellite precipitation forecasting method that integrates cloud classification products. The method combines precipitation-prior information from Himawari-8 satellite cloud classification products with multi-channel satellite observations to generate precipitation forecasts for the next four hours. This approach further exploits the potential of satellite observations in precipitation forecasting. Experimental results show that integrating cloud classification products improves the Critical Success Index by 8.0%, improves the Correlation Coefficient by 5.8%, and reduces the Mean Squared Error by 3.0%, but increases the MAE by 4.5%. It is proven that this method can effectively improve the accuracy of multi-channel satellite precipitation forecasting.