Increasing tropical cyclone residence time along the Chinese coastline driven by track rotation

Coastal regions are highly vulnerable to tropical cyclones (TCs), with the severity of damage often closely linked to the duration of storms over these areas. Here we show a significant increase in TC residence time along the Chinese coast, with an average rise of approximately 2.5 h per decade since the 1980s. While the overall translation speed of TCs does not show any significant trend, their travel distances within coastal zones have increased markedly, rising by about 32.9 km per decade. This trend is particularly pronounced in the southern coastal region (south of 26°N), where TC tracks exhibit a counterclockwise rotation to become more parallel to the coastline since the 1980s. A concomitant counterclockwise rotation in the steering flow near this region is also observed, which is likely driven by the northward shift of the western Pacific subtropical high. These changes in TC trajectories have also led to prolonged durations of heavy rainfall in the coastal regions.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2025-08-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01178-7
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.90

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article

Increasing tropical cyclone residence time along the Chinese coastline driven by track rotation

Linjiang Li, Yunxia Zheng, Johnny C. L. Chan, Guihua Wang
3 citations
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
3.90
article

Increasing tropical cyclone residence time along the Chinese coastline driven by track rotation

Linjiang Li, Yunxia Zheng, Johnny C. L. Chan, Guihua Wang
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Coastal regions are highly vulnerable to tropical cyclones (TCs), with the severity of damage often closely linked to the duration of storms over these areas. Here we show a significant increase in TC residence time along the Chinese coast, with an average rise of approximately 2.5 h per decade since the 1980s. While the overall translation speed of TCs does not show any significant trend, their travel distances within coastal zones have increased markedly, rising by about 32.9 km per decade. This trend is particularly pronounced in the southern coastal region (south of 26°N), where TC tracks exhibit a counterclockwise rotation to become more parallel to the coastline since the 1980s. A concomitant counterclockwise rotation in the steering flow near this region is also observed, which is likely driven by the northward shift of the western Pacific subtropical high. These changes in TC trajectories have also led to prolonged durations of heavy rainfall in the coastal regions.

npj Climate and Atmospheric ScienceVol. 8(1)
China Meteorological Administration (CN), City University of Hong Kong (HK), Fudan University (CN), Taizhou University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, China Meteorological Administration
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
3.90
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Increasing tropical cyclone residence time along the Chinese coastline driven by track rotation — Linjiang Li, Yunxia Zheng, et al. · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS