Automated First-Arrival Picking and Source Localization of Microseismic Events Using OVMD-WTD and Fractal Box Dimension Analysis

Microseismic monitoring has become a critical technology for hydraulic fracturing in unconventional oil and gas reservoirs, owing to its high temporal and spatial resolution. It plays a pivotal role in tracking fracture propagation and evaluating stimulation effectiveness. However, the automatic picking of first-arrival times and accurate source localization remain challenging under complex noise conditions, which constrain the reliability of fracture parameter inversion and reservoir assessment. To address these limitations, we propose a hybrid approach that combines optimized variational mode decomposition (OVMD), wavelet thresholding denoising (WTD), and an adaptive fractal box-counting dimension algorithm for enhanced first-arrival picking and source localization. Specifically, OVMD is first employed to adaptively decompose seismic signals and isolate noise-dominated components. Subsequently, WTD is applied in the multi-scale frequency domain to suppress residual noise. An adaptive fractal dimension strategy is then utilized to detect change points and accurately determine the first-arrival time. These results are used as inputs to a particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm for source localization. Both numerical simulations and laboratory experiments demonstrate that the proposed method exhibits high robustness and localization accuracy under severe noise conditions. It significantly outperforms conventional approaches such as short-time Fourier transform (STFT) and continuous wavelet transform (CWT). The proposed framework offers reliable technical support for dynamic fracture monitoring, detailed reservoir characterization, and risk mitigation in the development of unconventional reservoirs.