What’s driving the decline in entrepreneurship?

Why has there been a steady decline in entrepreneurship in the US in recent decades? To answer this question, I develop a general equilibrium occupation choice model and combine it with data on these choices. Skill-biased technical change can account for much of the decline in the relative entrepreneurship rate of more educated people, but cannot explain the decline in the aggregate level of entrepreneurship. The major factors in the decline in the share of people who are entrepreneurs, the firm entry rate, and the size of the entrepreneur sector are rising entry costs and outsized productivity gains by large non-entrepreneur firms. • Entrepreneurship has declined, more so for higher education groups. • This has not been offset by entrepreneur businesses becoming larger. • Rising entry costs and the growth of superstar firms can account for the aggregate decline. • Skill-biased technical change can account for much of the larger decline for more educated people.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Monetary Economics
Published
2025-07-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2025.103812
Primary Topic
Firm Innovation and Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

What’s driving the decline in entrepreneurship?

Nicholas Kozeniauskas
Journal of Monetary Economics
Firm Innovation and Growth
article

What’s driving the decline in entrepreneurship?

Nicholas Kozeniauskas
article en

Abstract

Why has there been a steady decline in entrepreneurship in the US in recent decades? To answer this question, I develop a general equilibrium occupation choice model and combine it with data on these choices. Skill-biased technical change can account for much of the decline in the relative entrepreneurship rate of more educated people, but cannot explain the decline in the aggregate level of entrepreneurship. The major factors in the decline in the share of people who are entrepreneurs, the firm entry rate, and the size of the entrepreneur sector are rising entry costs and outsized productivity gains by large non-entrepreneur firms. • Entrepreneurship has declined, more so for higher education groups. • This has not been offset by entrepreneur businesses becoming larger. • Rising entry costs and the growth of superstar firms can account for the aggregate decline. • Skill-biased technical change can account for much of the larger decline for more educated people.

Journal of Monetary EconomicsVol. 154
Universidade Católica Portuguesa (PT), Banco de Portugal (PT)
Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation, Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Firm Innovation and Growth
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What’s driving the decline in entrepreneurship? — Nicholas Kozeniauskas · Journal of Monetary Economics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS