Delay Prediction Through Multi-Channel Traffic and Weather Scene Image: A Deep Learning-Based Method

Accurate prediction of airport delays under convective weather conditions is essential for effective traffic coordination and improving overall airport efficiency. Traditional methods mainly rely on numerical weather and traffic indicators, but they often fail to capture the spatial distribution of traffic flows within the terminal area. To address this limitation, we propose a novel image-based representation named Multi-Channel Traffic and Weather Scene Image (MTWSI), which maps both meteorological and traffic information onto a two-dimensional airspace grid, thereby preserving spatial relationships. Based on the MTWSI, we develop a delay prediction model named ADLCNN. This model first uses a convolutional neural network to extract deep spatial features from the scene images and then classifies each sample into a delay level. Using real operational data from Guangzhou Baiyun Airport, this paper shows that ADLCNN achieves significantly higher prediction accuracy compared to traditional machine learning methods. The results confirm that MTWSI provides a more accurate representation of real traffic conditions under convective weather.