Ranking Public Infrastructure Project Success Using Multi-Criteria Analysis

Project success is a complex and debated concept in construction project management, even more so for public sector infrastructure projects. This study proposes a new, data-driven methodology to assess the success of public infrastructure projects using a multi-criteria decision-making framework. By utilizing empirical data from 30 completed road infrastructure projects the study applies the Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Situation (TOPSIS) method to evaluate performance across four key success criteria: cost, time, quality, and project management. An integrated Success Index (SI) was then calculated using the Simple Additive Weighting (SAW) method under two different weighting scenarios. Results show that projects with shorter durations and simpler scopes consistently achieved higher SI scores, while larger, more complex projects were more prone to delays, cost overruns, and quality issues. This study contributes to scientific research by utilizing real, archival project data rather than relying on expert opinions to quantify project success from the client contracting authority’s perspective rather than that of the contractor. Hence, the proposed model serves as a practical, adaptable tool for public contracting authorities seeking to benchmark and improve project performance.