China's high-speed rail project as a debt trap? lessons learned from Sri Lanka's bankruptcy situation

Speed Rail (KCIC) project, developed under China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The research addresses the urgency of assessing whether large-scale infrastructure projects financed through bilateral loans risk creating long-term debt dependency, drawing lessons from Sri Lanka’s Hambantota Port case. The objectives are to evaluate the potential of the KCIC to drive economic growth while identifying financial vulnerabilities, and to explore how such insights can contribute to civic education and policy literacy in Indonesia. A qualitative descriptive case study approach is applied, using secondary data from government reports, academic literature, and credible media sources, framed within dependency theory and the debt-trap diplomacy discourse. Findings reveal that although the KCIC has potential benefits for connectivity and investment attraction, significant cost overruns and reliance on long-term foreign loans may expose Indonesia to fiscal risks similar to those experienced by Sri Lanka. Policy recommendations include diversifying financing sources, enhancing project governance, and embedding infrastructure analysis into public policy and strategic leadership education. These measures can strengthen national capacity to negotiate and manage large-scale infrastructure projects, aligning economic development with sustainable sovereignty.

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Publication Details

Journal
Educenter Jurnal ilmiah pendidikan
Published
2025-04-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.55904/educenter.v4i1.1673
Primary Topic
International Development and Aid
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

China's high-speed rail project as a debt trap? lessons learned from Sri Lanka's bankruptcy situation

Avinash Pawar, Muhamad Arief Ramdhany, Henry Loupias, Bachtiar Dewantara et al.
Educenter Jurnal ilmiah pendidikan
International Development and Aid
article

China's high-speed rail project as a debt trap? lessons learned from Sri Lanka's bankruptcy situation

Avinash Pawar, Muhamad Arief Ramdhany, Henry Loupias, Bachtiar Dewantara, Noor Fathulliansyah
article en

Abstract

Speed Rail (KCIC) project, developed under China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The research addresses the urgency of assessing whether large-scale infrastructure projects financed through bilateral loans risk creating long-term debt dependency, drawing lessons from Sri Lanka’s Hambantota Port case. The objectives are to evaluate the potential of the KCIC to drive economic growth while identifying financial vulnerabilities, and to explore how such insights can contribute to civic education and policy literacy in Indonesia. A qualitative descriptive case study approach is applied, using secondary data from government reports, academic literature, and credible media sources, framed within dependency theory and the debt-trap diplomacy discourse. Findings reveal that although the KCIC has potential benefits for connectivity and investment attraction, significant cost overruns and reliance on long-term foreign loans may expose Indonesia to fiscal risks similar to those experienced by Sri Lanka. Policy recommendations include diversifying financing sources, enhancing project governance, and embedding infrastructure analysis into public policy and strategic leadership education. These measures can strengthen national capacity to negotiate and manage large-scale infrastructure projects, aligning economic development with sustainable sovereignty.

Educenter Jurnal ilmiah pendidikanVol. 4(1)
Indonesia University of Education (ID), Universitas 17 Agustus 1945 Surabaya (ID), Universitas Dian Nusantara (ID), Savitribai Phule Pune University (IN)
Quality Education
Openalex Percentile: Top 57%
International Development and Aid
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China's high-speed rail project as a debt trap? lessons learned from Sri Lanka's bankruptcy situation — Avinash Pawar, Muhamad Arief Ramdhany, et al. · Educenter Jurnal ilmiah pendidikan (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS