Tidal Effects on Antarctic Bottom Water Formation in a Changing Climate

Abstract Antarctic bottom water (AABW) forms through the descent of dense shelf waters (DSW) into the abyssal ocean, with tides playing a key role in DSW transport and entrainment. Previous studies suggest that tides can suppress the net overflow entrainment, favoring the formation of denser AABW. However, how tidal effects on AABW formation and associated material sequestration vary with a changing climate remains unclear. In this study, an idealized numerical model is used to investigate potential climatic influences on tidally influenced AABW properties. Experiments are conducted with varying ambient stratifications and rates of DSW supply, inspired by projected future changes over the Antarctic continental shelf. The results show that tidal advection and associated V‐shaped front can modify the vertical diffusivity and the exchanges between DSW and its ambient waters, thereby altering the properties of AABW. For a future warm and salty shelf, AABW will become warmer and saltier accordingly, with the effects of the V‐shaped front weakening significantly. Conversely, for a future cold and fresh shelf, AABW formation is nearly nonexistent due to the stronger dilution of DSW, and the tidal effects become much weaker. Additionally, tidal suppression of overflow mixing is only significant for large DSW fluxes (thickness) and becomes negligible for small DSW fluxes. These findings suggest that the contribution of tides to DSW descent will weaken under global warming, thereby accelerating the slowdown of AABW formation.