GRACE/GFO and Swarm Observation Analysis of the 2023–2024 Extreme Drought in the Amazon River Basin

The Amazon River Basin (ARB) experienced an extreme drought from summer 2023 to spring 2024, driven by complex interactions among multiple climatic and environmental factors. A detailed investigation into this drought is crucial in understanding the entire process of the drought. Here, we employ drought indices derived from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), GRACE Follow-On (GFO), and Swarm missions to reconstruct the drought’s progression, combined with reanalysis datasets and extreme-climate indices to analyze atmospheric and hydrological mechanisms. Our findings reveal a six-month drought from September 2023, reaching a drought peak of −1.29 and a drought severity of −5.62, with its epicenter migrating systematically from the northwestern to southeastern basin, spatially mirroring the 2015–2016 extreme drought pattern. Reduced precipitation and abnormal warming were the direct causes, which were closely linked to the 2023 El Niño event. This event disrupted atmospheric vertical movements. These changes led to abnormally strong sinking motions over the basin, which interacted synergistically with anomalies in land cover types caused by deforestation, triggering this extreme drought. This study provides spatiotemporal drought diagnostics valuable for hydrological forecasting and climate adaptation planning.