<b>Navigating the Multi-faceted Specter of Stag inflation in Divergent SCO  Countries Economics</b>

This study investigates the complex and disruptive phenomenon of stagflation within the diverse economic landscapes of Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) countries. Understanding its causes and impacts in these geopolitical significant nations, which range from resource-rich to populous, is vital for developing tailored policy solutions. Existing literature often lacks unambiguous conclusions regarding the unique manifestations of stagflation in such divergent economies. The research aims to identify the causes of stagflation, analyze its impact on economic growth and employment, and explore effective policy responses within SCO countries. Utilizing Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Random Effects models, framed by a New Keynesian Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) theoretical framework, the study empirically assesses these relationships. Key findings indicate a significant negative relationship between GDP and unemployment (Okun's Law), while wages surprisingly show a negative correlation with inflation but a positive one with unemployment. The analysis underscores the need for country-specific policy tailoring and regional cooperation to foster economic resilience amid global uncertainties.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Political Stability Archive
Published
2025-08-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.63468/jpsa.3.3.42
Primary Topic
Economic Theory and Policy
Type
article
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article

Navigating the Multi-faceted Specter of Stag inflation in Divergent SCO  Countries Economics

Mumtaz Khan, Muhammad Yousaf Raza, Bushra Hasan Khan, Rimsha Yousaf et al.
Journal of Political Stability Archive
Economic Theory and Policy
article

Navigating the Multi-faceted Specter of Stag inflation in Divergent SCO  Countries Economics

Mumtaz Khan, Muhammad Yousaf Raza, Bushra Hasan Khan, Rimsha Yousaf, Furqan Ahmad
article en

Abstract

This study investigates the complex and disruptive phenomenon of stagflation within the diverse economic landscapes of Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) countries. Understanding its causes and impacts in these geopolitical significant nations, which range from resource-rich to populous, is vital for developing tailored policy solutions. Existing literature often lacks unambiguous conclusions regarding the unique manifestations of stagflation in such divergent economies. The research aims to identify the causes of stagflation, analyze its impact on economic growth and employment, and explore effective policy responses within SCO countries. Utilizing Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Random Effects models, framed by a New Keynesian Open Economy Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) theoretical framework, the study empirically assesses these relationships. Key findings indicate a significant negative relationship between GDP and unemployment (Okun's Law), while wages surprisingly show a negative correlation with inflation but a positive one with unemployment. The analysis underscores the need for country-specific policy tailoring and regional cooperation to foster economic resilience amid global uncertainties.

Journal of Political Stability ArchiveVol. 3(3)
COMSATS University Islamabad (PK)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 67%
Economic Theory and Policy
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<b>Navigating the Multi-faceted Specter of Stag inflation in Divergent SCO  Countries Economics</b> — Mumtaz Khan, Muhammad Yousaf Raza, et al. · Journal of Political Stability Archive (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS