Challenges to Symbiotic Growth of Semiconductor &amp; AI Industries: A 2<sup>nd</sup>-Path Moore’s Law Scaling for Deep, Broad, and Exponential Intelligence Economics

Unlike previous eras spanning over 60 years where the semiconductor industry (SI) relied sequentially on a single killer application per era (mainframe → PC → cellphone → IoT), the current AI emergence is broadly establishing a Pervasive Intelligence Paradigm (PIP). This paradigm stimulates multiple applications at unprecedented scale and catalyzes revolutionary changes, offering the SI extraordinary growth opportunities toward a Tera dollar economic scale. Conversely, the SI provides essential empowerment for AI through billion-transistor Monolithic and Heterogeneous Integration (MHI) in compact form factors, delivering performance, power efficiency, and cost effectiveness that allows AI to flourish and drive future explosive growth. This marks a stark contrast to the 1950s era, when visionary inventors like Turing conceptualized machine learning theories but lacked access to the powerful computational ICs ever realized by SI. The AI+SI symbiotic growth should accelerate both economics and civilization toward “Tera trends” that vastly exceed current “Mega to Billion trends”. However, more foundational breakthroughs must occur continually through the Invention, Collaboration, and Realization Circle (ICRC).

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Publication Details

Published
2025-06-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/drc66027.2025.11105734
Primary Topic
Economic and Technological Innovation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Challenges to Symbiotic Growth of Semiconductor & AI Industries: A 2nd-Path Moore’s Law Scaling for Deep, Broad, and Exponential Intelligence Economics

Nicky Lu
Economic and Technological Innovation
article

Challenges to Symbiotic Growth of Semiconductor & AI Industries: A 2nd-Path Moore’s Law Scaling for Deep, Broad, and Exponential Intelligence Economics

Nicky Lu
article en

Abstract

Unlike previous eras spanning over 60 years where the semiconductor industry (SI) relied sequentially on a single killer application per era (mainframe → PC → cellphone → IoT), the current AI emergence is broadly establishing a Pervasive Intelligence Paradigm (PIP). This paradigm stimulates multiple applications at unprecedented scale and catalyzes revolutionary changes, offering the SI extraordinary growth opportunities toward a Tera dollar economic scale. Conversely, the SI provides essential empowerment for AI through billion-transistor Monolithic and Heterogeneous Integration (MHI) in compact form factors, delivering performance, power efficiency, and cost effectiveness that allows AI to flourish and drive future explosive growth. This marks a stark contrast to the 1950s era, when visionary inventors like Turing conceptualized machine learning theories but lacked access to the powerful computational ICs ever realized by SI. The AI+SI symbiotic growth should accelerate both economics and civilization toward “Tera trends” that vastly exceed current “Mega to Billion trends”. However, more foundational breakthroughs must occur continually through the Invention, Collaboration, and Realization Circle (ICRC).

Macronix International (Taiwan) (TW)
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Economic and Technological Innovation
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