Research on Power Load Forecasting Method Based on Multi-Factor Fusion Characteristics

Short-term power load forecasting is of great significance for improving the operational efficiency of the power grid, optimizing energy dispatching and ensuring the safety and stability of the power system. This paper comprehensively considers key influencing variables such as climatic factors and date types, and constructs a hybrid prediction model combining Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Firstly, the load data is decomposed into multiple scales through DWT to extract key features and suppress noise interference. Subsequently, the improved t-SNE and Principal component Analysis (PCA) were adopted to reduce the dimension and fuse the high-dimensional features in order to enhance the data representation ability. Finally, high-precision short-term load forecasting is achieved based on SVM. Experiments show that this model significantly improves the prediction accuracy by mining the correlation characteristics between historical load patterns and weather, providing reliable technical support for dynamic power grid planning, efficient consumption of renewable energy, and power market decision-making.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-05-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/netps65392.2025.11102062
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.73
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Research on Power Load Forecasting Method Based on Multi-Factor Fusion Characteristics

Wenpeng Cui, Zhe Zheng, Qingwei Yang, Bokuan Yang et al.
1 citations
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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article

Research on Power Load Forecasting Method Based on Multi-Factor Fusion Characteristics

Wenpeng Cui, Zhe Zheng, Qingwei Yang, Bokuan Yang, Mingxuan Li, Yu Liu, Ye Chen, Wanpeng Guo
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Short-term power load forecasting is of great significance for improving the operational efficiency of the power grid, optimizing energy dispatching and ensuring the safety and stability of the power system. This paper comprehensively considers key influencing variables such as climatic factors and date types, and constructs a hybrid prediction model combining Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Firstly, the load data is decomposed into multiple scales through DWT to extract key features and suppress noise interference. Subsequently, the improved t-SNE and Principal component Analysis (PCA) were adopted to reduce the dimension and fuse the high-dimensional features in order to enhance the data representation ability. Finally, high-precision short-term load forecasting is achieved based on SVM. Experiments show that this model significantly improves the prediction accuracy by mining the correlation characteristics between historical load patterns and weather, providing reliable technical support for dynamic power grid planning, efficient consumption of renewable energy, and power market decision-making.

Beijing Microelectronics Technology Institute (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 25%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
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