Background risk model in presence of heavy tails under dependence

In this paper, we examine two problems on applied probability, which are directly connected with the dependence in presence of heavy tails. The first problem is related to max-sum equivalence of the randomly weighted sums in bivariate setup. Introducing a new dependence, called generalized tail asymptotic independence, we establish the bivariate max-sum equivalence under a rather general dependence structure when the primary random variables follow distributions from the intersection of the dominatedly varying and the long-tailed distributions. Based on this max-sum equivalence, we provide a result about the asymptotic behavior of two kinds of ruin probabilities over a finite-time horizon in a bivariate renewal risk model with constant interest rate. The second problem is related to the asymptotic behavior of the tail distortion risk measure in a static portfolio called background risk model. In opposite to other approaches on this topic, we use a general enough assumption that is based on multivariate regular variation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nonlinear Analysis Modelling and Control
Published
2025-08-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.15388/namc.2025.30.42995
Primary Topic
Probability and Risk Models
Type
article
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article

Background risk model in presence of heavy tails under dependence

Dimitrios G. Konstantinides, Charalampos D. Passalidis
Nonlinear Analysis Modelling and Control
Probability and Risk Models
article

Background risk model in presence of heavy tails under dependence

Dimitrios G. Konstantinides, Charalampos D. Passalidis
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we examine two problems on applied probability, which are directly connected with the dependence in presence of heavy tails. The first problem is related to max-sum equivalence of the randomly weighted sums in bivariate setup. Introducing a new dependence, called generalized tail asymptotic independence, we establish the bivariate max-sum equivalence under a rather general dependence structure when the primary random variables follow distributions from the intersection of the dominatedly varying and the long-tailed distributions. Based on this max-sum equivalence, we provide a result about the asymptotic behavior of two kinds of ruin probabilities over a finite-time horizon in a bivariate renewal risk model with constant interest rate. The second problem is related to the asymptotic behavior of the tail distortion risk measure in a static portfolio called background risk model. In opposite to other approaches on this topic, we use a general enough assumption that is based on multivariate regular variation.

Nonlinear Analysis Modelling and ControlVol. 30(5)
University of the Aegean (GR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Probability and Risk Models
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Background risk model in presence of heavy tails under dependence — Dimitrios G. Konstantinides, Charalampos D. Passalidis · Nonlinear Analysis Modelling and Control (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS