Why Forecasting Fails � and How Option Logic Can Fix It

A practical argument for treating forecasts as dynamic expectation curves � not static targets � using option-based modeling, AI, and governance intelligence

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Wilmott
Published
2025-08-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54946/wilm.12170
Primary Topic
Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Why Forecasting Fails � and How Option Logic Can Fix It

T Brutman
Wilmott
Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
article

Why Forecasting Fails � and How Option Logic Can Fix It

T Brutman
article en

Abstract

A practical argument for treating forecasts as dynamic expectation curves � not static targets � using option-based modeling, AI, and governance intelligence

WilmottVol. 2025(139)
Openalex Percentile: Top 75%
Reservoir Engineering and Simulation Methods
DOISourceOpenAlex
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Why Forecasting Fails � and How Option Logic Can Fix It — T Brutman · Wilmott (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS