Research on the Market Forecast of China's Real Estate

The real estate industry in China plays a crucial role in the country's economic development and social progress. As a pillar industry of the national economy, it has driven the growth of dozens of related sectors such as building materials, home decoration, and finance, creating many urban employment opportunities and playing a significant role in driving economic growth. This paper forecasts China's real estate market post-pandemic. It analyzes the industry's downturn under epidemic impacts and policy effects like "housing for living, not speculation." It explores developers' strategies: financial restructuring (asset divestiture, REITs), product focus on improved/niche housing, regional concentration, and operational upgrades. The study predicts a 12-trillion-yuan market from stock renewal, rentals, and smart services, with policies integrating international experience. It notes a dual ecosystem of state-owned and private enterprises, multi-level financing, tech-green regulation, and shifted homebuyer focus on living attributes and risk defense, foreseeing a capacity-driven growth shift.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences
Published
2025-08-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54254/2754-1169/2025.lh25865
Primary Topic
Housing Market and Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Research on the Market Forecast of China's Real Estate

H. L. Chen
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Advances in Economics Management and Political Sciences
Housing Market and Economics
article

Research on the Market Forecast of China's Real Estate

H. L. Chen
article en

Abstract

The real estate industry in China plays a crucial role in the country's economic development and social progress. As a pillar industry of the national economy, it has driven the growth of dozens of related sectors such as building materials, home decoration, and finance, creating many urban employment opportunities and playing a significant role in driving economic growth. This paper forecasts China's real estate market post-pandemic. It analyzes the industry's downturn under epidemic impacts and policy effects like "housing for living, not speculation." It explores developers' strategies: financial restructuring (asset divestiture, REITs), product focus on improved/niche housing, regional concentration, and operational upgrades. The study predicts a 12-trillion-yuan market from stock renewal, rentals, and smart services, with policies integrating international experience. It notes a dual ecosystem of state-owned and private enterprises, multi-level financing, tech-green regulation, and shifted homebuyer focus on living attributes and risk defense, foreseeing a capacity-driven growth shift.

Advances in Economics Management and Political SciencesVol. 207(1)
University of Languages and International Studies (VN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Housing Market and Economics
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