Hypergraph-Driven High-Order Knowledge Tracing with a Dual-Gated Dynamic Mechanism

Knowledge tracing (KT), a core educational data mining task, models students’ evolving knowledge states to predict future learning. In online education systems, the exercises are numerous, but they are typically associated with only a few concepts. However, existing models rarely integrate exercise information with high-order exercise–concept correlations, focusing solely on optimizing models’ final predictive performance. To address these limitations, we propose the Hypergraph-Driven High-Order Knowledge Tracing with a Dual-Gated Dynamic Mechanism (HGKT), a novel framework that (1) captures correlations between exercises and concepts through a two-layer hypergraph convolution; (2) integrates hypergraph-driven exercise embedding and temporal features (answer time and interval time) to characterize learning behavioral dynamics; and (3) designs a learning layer and a forgetting layer, with the dual-gating mechanism dynamically balancing their impacts on the knowledge state. Experiments on three public datasets demonstrate that the proposed HGKT model achieves superior predictive performance compared to all baselines. On the longest interaction sequence dataset, ASSISChall, HGKT improves prediction AUC by least 1.8%. On the biggest interaction records dataset, EdNet-KT1, it maintains a state-of-the-art AUC of 0.78372. Visualization analyses confirm its interpretability in tracing knowledge state evolution. These results validate HGKT’s effectiveness in modeling high-order exercise–concept correlations while ensuring practical adaptability in real-world online education platforms.