Enhancing Online Statistical Decision-Making in Maritime C2 Systems: A Resilience Analysis of the LORD Procedure Under Adversarial Data Perturbations

Real-time statistical inference plays a pivotal role in maritime Command and Control (C2) environments, particularly for applications such as satellite-based object detection and underwater signal interpretation. These contexts often require online multiple hypothesis testing mechanisms capable of sequential decision-making while preserving statistical rigor. A primary concern is the control of the False Discovery Rate (FDR), as erroneous detections can impair operational effectiveness. In this study, we investigate the robustness of the Levels based On Recent Discovery (LORD) algorithm under adversarial conditions by introducing controlled perturbations to the data stream—specifically, missing or corrupted p-values derived from simulated Gaussian distributions. Inspired by developments in corruption-aware multi-armed bandit models, we formulate adversarial scenarios and propose defense strategies that modify the LORD algorithm’s threshold sequence and integrate an online Benjamini–Hochberg procedure. The results, based on extensive Monte Carlo simulations, demonstrate that even a single missing p-value can trigger a cascading effect that reduces statistical power, and that our proposed mitigation strategies significantly improve algorithmic resilience while maintaining FDR control. These contributions advance the development of robust online statistical decision-making tools for real-time maritime surveillance systems operating under uncertain and error-prone conditions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Published
2025-08-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081547
Primary Topic
Fault Detection and Control Systems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Enhancing Online Statistical Decision-Making in Maritime C2 Systems: A Resilience Analysis of the LORD Procedure Under Adversarial Data Perturbations

Igor Pınheıro de Araújo Costa, Marcos dos Santos, Miguel Ângelo Lellis Moreira, Carlos Francısco Sımões Gomes et al.
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Fault Detection and Control Systems
article

Enhancing Online Statistical Decision-Making in Maritime C2 Systems: A Resilience Analysis of the LORD Procedure Under Adversarial Data Perturbations

Igor Pınheıro de Araújo Costa, Marcos dos Santos, Miguel Ângelo Lellis Moreira, Carlos Francısco Sımões Gomes, Gabriel Custódio Rangel, Victor Benicio Ardilha da Allen Alves
article en

Abstract

Real-time statistical inference plays a pivotal role in maritime Command and Control (C2) environments, particularly for applications such as satellite-based object detection and underwater signal interpretation. These contexts often require online multiple hypothesis testing mechanisms capable of sequential decision-making while preserving statistical rigor. A primary concern is the control of the False Discovery Rate (FDR), as erroneous detections can impair operational effectiveness. In this study, we investigate the robustness of the Levels based On Recent Discovery (LORD) algorithm under adversarial conditions by introducing controlled perturbations to the data stream—specifically, missing or corrupted p-values derived from simulated Gaussian distributions. Inspired by developments in corruption-aware multi-armed bandit models, we formulate adversarial scenarios and propose defense strategies that modify the LORD algorithm’s threshold sequence and integrate an online Benjamini–Hochberg procedure. The results, based on extensive Monte Carlo simulations, demonstrate that even a single missing p-value can trigger a cascading effect that reduces statistical power, and that our proposed mitigation strategies significantly improve algorithmic resilience while maintaining FDR control. These contributions advance the development of robust online statistical decision-making tools for real-time maritime surveillance systems operating under uncertain and error-prone conditions.

Journal of Marine Science and EngineeringVol. 13(8)
Universidade Federal Fluminense (BR), Brazilian Naval School (BR), Military Institute of Engineering (BR)
Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Fault Detection and Control Systems
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