Bayesian inference for dependent stress–strength reliability of series–parallel system based on copula

In this paper, we investigate the inferential procedures for dependent stress-strength reliability within a series-parallel system, utilizing the Clayton copula to characterize the dependence structure between stress and strength variables, which follow proportional reversed hazard rate model. We establish maximum likelihood estimations for model parameters and system reliability, along with improved approximate confidence intervals based on Fisher information. Bayesian estimations are performed using the highly flexible Gamma-Beta prior distribution under different loss functions, and the highest posterior density interval is obtained via the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. To assess the performance of the proposed methods, Monte Carlo simulations are conducted. Finally, an original data set, the general dam occupancy rate of Istanbul, is analyzed for illustrative purposes.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-08-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-13878-4
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.63

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article

Bayesian inference for dependent stress–strength reliability of series–parallel system based on copula

Junrui Wang, Li Zhang, Rongfang Yan
1 citations
Scientific Reports
Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
2.63
article

Bayesian inference for dependent stress–strength reliability of series–parallel system based on copula

Junrui Wang, Li Zhang, Rongfang Yan
article en
1 citations

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the inferential procedures for dependent stress-strength reliability within a series-parallel system, utilizing the Clayton copula to characterize the dependence structure between stress and strength variables, which follow proportional reversed hazard rate model. We establish maximum likelihood estimations for model parameters and system reliability, along with improved approximate confidence intervals based on Fisher information. Bayesian estimations are performed using the highly flexible Gamma-Beta prior distribution under different loss functions, and the highest posterior density interval is obtained via the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. To assess the performance of the proposed methods, Monte Carlo simulations are conducted. Finally, an original data set, the general dam occupancy rate of Istanbul, is analyzed for illustrative purposes.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
Northwest Normal University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Gansu Education Department, Science and Technology Program of Gansu Province
Openalex Percentile: Top 10%
Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
2.63
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