Decoding Treatment Failures in Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma: Predictors Across Immunotherapy and Targeted Therapies from a Retrospective Real-World Analysis
<b>Background</b>: Despite recent advances in the management of metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC), real-world outcomes remain heterogeneous, and early treatment failure is common. Predictive biomarkers for time to treatment failure (TTF) outside clinical trials are poorly characterized. <b>Objective</b>: To identify clinical and laboratory predictors associated with early treatment failure in a real-world cohort of mRCC patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs), or combination regimens. <b>Methods</b>: We conducted a retrospective, single-center analysis of patients with metastatic non-urothelial RCC treated between 2018 and 2023. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association between baseline biological parameters and TTF for each treatment regimen. <b>Results</b>: Among 137 patients receiving first-line therapy, 50 received Ipilimumab + Nivolumab, 49 Sunitinib, and 17 Avelumab + Axitinib. For Ipilimumab + Nivolumab, elevated AST was significantly associated with shorter TTF. For Avelumab + Axitinib, shorter TTF was associated with lymph node metastases, low lymphocyte count, low creatinine, low BMI, and low hemoglobin. For Cabozantinib in subsequent lines, a higher platelet count, ALT, and presence of liver metastases were associated with shorter TTF. No statistically significant predictors were found for Nivolumab used in the second-line setting. <b>Conclusions</b>: Routine, accessible biomarkers such as AST, hemoglobin, lymphocyte count, and creatinine may serve as predictors of treatment failure in specific therapeutic contexts. These findings support risk-adapted strategies and individualized monitoring in real-world clinical practice, though further validation in larger cohorts is warranted.
Authors
- Sorin Săftescu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1628-2359)
- Radu Dragomir (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5994-9160)
- Șerban-Mircea Negru
- Alina Gabriela Negru (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9838-744X)
- Dávid Nagy (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0956-3294)
- D Popovici (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2772-7547)
- Ana Dulan
- Daniela-Lidia Sandu
- Vlad-Norin Vornicu
Institutions
- Victor Babeș University of Medicine and Pharmacy Timișoara (RO)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Clinical Medicine
- Published
- 2025-07-25
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14155271
- Citations
- 3
- Primary Topic
- Renal cell carcinoma treatment
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 4.56