Predictive Analysis of Indian Stock Market Indices Using Technical Indicators and Machine Learning

This study explores how machine learning can be applied to predict trends in the Indian stock market, with a focus on the NIFTY 50 index. We use a combination of well-known technical indicators-RSI, MACD, ADX, ATR, and Bollinger Bands-along with the XGBoost classification algorithm to forecast next-day price movements. The aim is to uncover patterns based on calendar days and better understand retail trading behavior. The results show encouraging predictive accuracy, suggesting potential applications in the development of algorithmic trading strategies tailored for the Indian equities market.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-07-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.36227/techrxiv.175281141.15130016/v1
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
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article

Predictive Analysis of Indian Stock Market Indices Using Technical Indicators and Machine Learning

Harsh Yadav
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

Predictive Analysis of Indian Stock Market Indices Using Technical Indicators and Machine Learning

Harsh Yadav
article en

Abstract

This study explores how machine learning can be applied to predict trends in the Indian stock market, with a focus on the NIFTY 50 index. We use a combination of well-known technical indicators-RSI, MACD, ADX, ATR, and Bollinger Bands-along with the XGBoost classification algorithm to forecast next-day price movements. The aim is to uncover patterns based on calendar days and better understand retail trading behavior. The results show encouraging predictive accuracy, suggesting potential applications in the development of algorithmic trading strategies tailored for the Indian equities market.

Government College of Science (PK)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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Predictive Analysis of Indian Stock Market Indices Using Technical Indicators and Machine Learning — Harsh Yadav · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS