Tests for Integer-valued Time Series Based on the Probability Generating Function

This paper addresses models for time series of integer-valued variables. Such series arise in various applications, often as increment series for counts of interest. A model with a GARCH-type structure with the Skellam conditional distribution is considered. We propose a novel testing procedure to assess the null hypothesis that a set of integer-valued observations follows such model. The proposed test statistic incorporates the empirical probability generating function computed from the data.

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Published
2025-06-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.23919/measurement66999.2025.11078678
Primary Topic
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Type
article
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article

Tests for Integer-valued Time Series Based on the Probability Generating Function

Aneta Kostárová
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
article

Tests for Integer-valued Time Series Based on the Probability Generating Function

Aneta Kostárová
article en

Abstract

This paper addresses models for time series of integer-valued variables. Such series arise in various applications, often as increment series for counts of interest. A model with a GARCH-type structure with the Skellam conditional distribution is considered. We propose a novel testing procedure to assess the null hypothesis that a set of integer-valued observations follows such model. The proposed test statistic incorporates the empirical probability generating function computed from the data.

Charles University (CZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
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Tests for Integer-valued Time Series Based on the Probability Generating Function — Aneta Kostárová · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS