Climate Change for Lakes in the Coterminous United States in Relation to Lake Warming from 1981 to 2023

The goal of this study was to look at changes in mean air temperatures, minimum air temperatures, maximum air temperatures, dew points, and precipitation over each of 1033 lakes in the coterminous United States over the summer months in the years 1981–2024. Near-surface water temperatures in the same lakes were calculated with equations using 8-day mean daily air temperatures, latitude, elevation, and the year of sampling. Over the past 43 years, there have been changes in air temperatures over many lakes of the United States with generally increasing trends for minimum air temperatures and mean air temperatures during the months of June through September. The greatest increases have been in daily minimum air temperatures followed by the mean daily air temperatures. Maximum daily air temperatures did not show a statistically significant increase for the summer season but did show a significant increase for the month of September. Along with the changes in the climate, the near-surface water temperatures of the lakes of the United States on average showed increases of 0.33 °C decade−1 for the four summer months and increases for each of the summer months.