Threshold dynamics and density function in a stochastic SEIT tuberculosis system with exogenous reinfection

In this paper, we investigate a susceptible–exposed–infected–treated (SEIT) tuberculosis transmission model with exogenous reinfection in the stochastic environment, aiming to deeply analyze the impact of white noise on the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis. The threshold values [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] are defined and the criteria for the extinction and persistence of the disease are established. That is, when [Formula: see text], the disease persists in the mean and any positive solution has a unique ergodic stationary distribution, indicating that the disease will become endemic, while when [Formula: see text] or [Formula: see text], the disease tends to extinction with probability one. Furthermore, the expression of an approximate normal probability density function near the quasi-positive equilibrium is calculated. A novel calculation method is proposed which differs from the existing results. The numerical examples and simulations are presented not only to illustrate the theoretical results, to compare the difference between the stochastic model and the deterministic model, but also to discuss some open problems.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Biomathematics
Published
2025-07-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793524525500743
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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article
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article

Threshold dynamics and density function in a stochastic SEIT tuberculosis system with exogenous reinfection

Nafeisha Tuerxun, Zhidong Teng
International Journal of Biomathematics
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Threshold dynamics and density function in a stochastic SEIT tuberculosis system with exogenous reinfection

Nafeisha Tuerxun, Zhidong Teng
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate a susceptible–exposed–infected–treated (SEIT) tuberculosis transmission model with exogenous reinfection in the stochastic environment, aiming to deeply analyze the impact of white noise on the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis. The threshold values [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] are defined and the criteria for the extinction and persistence of the disease are established. That is, when [Formula: see text], the disease persists in the mean and any positive solution has a unique ergodic stationary distribution, indicating that the disease will become endemic, while when [Formula: see text] or [Formula: see text], the disease tends to extinction with probability one. Furthermore, the expression of an approximate normal probability density function near the quasi-positive equilibrium is calculated. A novel calculation method is proposed which differs from the existing results. The numerical examples and simulations are presented not only to illustrate the theoretical results, to compare the difference between the stochastic model and the deterministic model, but also to discuss some open problems.

International Journal of Biomathematics
Xinjiang Medical University (CN), Jimei University (CN)
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 72%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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Threshold dynamics and density function in a stochastic SEIT tuberculosis system with exogenous reinfection — Nafeisha Tuerxun, Zhidong Teng · International Journal of Biomathematics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS