Optimizing traffic accident loss predictions in China: Integrating importance indicator screening with the ET model for greater accuracy and stability

This study confirms the effectiveness of integrating feature importance screening with the Extra Trees model for predicting traffic accident losses. The methodology not only enhances prediction accuracy but also ensures stable performance across different accident indicators. The quantitative assessment of indicator importance offers valuable insights into the factors contributing to accident severity and provides a data-driven foundation for traffic safety policy and planning.

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Publication Details

Journal
Traffic Injury Prevention
Published
2025-08-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/15389588.2025.2530074
Primary Topic
Traffic and Road Safety
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Optimizing traffic accident loss predictions in China: Integrating importance indicator screening with the ET model for greater accuracy and stability

Jian Liu, Jingyuan Zhang, Bin Lyu, Rui Feng
Traffic Injury Prevention
Traffic and Road Safety
article

Optimizing traffic accident loss predictions in China: Integrating importance indicator screening with the ET model for greater accuracy and stability

Jian Liu, Jingyuan Zhang, Bin Lyu, Rui Feng
article en

Abstract

This study confirms the effectiveness of integrating feature importance screening with the Extra Trees model for predicting traffic accident losses. The methodology not only enhances prediction accuracy but also ensures stable performance across different accident indicators. The quantitative assessment of indicator importance offers valuable insights into the factors contributing to accident severity and provides a data-driven foundation for traffic safety policy and planning.

Traffic Injury Prevention
Beijing Electronic Science and Technology Institute (CN), Ministry of Education (IR), University of Science and Technology Beijing (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, National Key Research and Development Program of China, Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 76%
Traffic and Road Safety
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Optimizing traffic accident loss predictions in China: Integrating importance indicator screening with the ET model for greater accuracy and stability — Jian Liu, Jingyuan Zhang, et al. · Traffic Injury Prevention (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS