Learning to Predict Mixed-Traffic Trajectories in Urban Scenarios from Little Training Data with Refined Environment Modeling

Trajectory prediction for autonomous driving has been extensively studied using large-scale datasets from the US and Asia. These datasets typically have a strong bias toward predicting vehicle motion. Recently, the View-of-Delft Prediction (VoD-P) dataset introduced a collection of European urban mixed-traffic scenarios, posing unique challenges due to its diversity and relatively small dataset size. In this work, we conduct a detailed study on trajectory prediction on the VoD-P dataset. We show that state-of-the-art trajectory prediction models, which perform well on large-scale vehicle-biased datasets, struggle to generalize to the scenarios. To address this limitation, we propose a simple yet effective transformer-based trajectory prediction model, specifically designed to handle the challenges posed in diverse urban scenarios. Combining a strong baseline with refined environment modeling, our approach significantly outperforms all existing methods on the VoD-P dataset.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-06-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/iv64158.2025.11097493
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
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article

Learning to Predict Mixed-Traffic Trajectories in Urban Scenarios from Little Training Data with Refined Environment Modeling

Horst Possegger, Alexander Prutsch
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
article

Learning to Predict Mixed-Traffic Trajectories in Urban Scenarios from Little Training Data with Refined Environment Modeling

Horst Possegger, Alexander Prutsch
article en

Abstract

Trajectory prediction for autonomous driving has been extensively studied using large-scale datasets from the US and Asia. These datasets typically have a strong bias toward predicting vehicle motion. Recently, the View-of-Delft Prediction (VoD-P) dataset introduced a collection of European urban mixed-traffic scenarios, posing unique challenges due to its diversity and relatively small dataset size. In this work, we conduct a detailed study on trajectory prediction on the VoD-P dataset. We show that state-of-the-art trajectory prediction models, which perform well on large-scale vehicle-biased datasets, struggle to generalize to the scenarios. To address this limitation, we propose a simple yet effective transformer-based trajectory prediction model, specifically designed to handle the challenges posed in diverse urban scenarios. Combining a strong baseline with refined environment modeling, our approach significantly outperforms all existing methods on the VoD-P dataset.

Graz University of Technology (AT)
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 79%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
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Learning to Predict Mixed-Traffic Trajectories in Urban Scenarios from Little Training Data with Refined Environment Modeling — Horst Possegger, Alexander Prutsch · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS