Development and Validation of a Differential Diagnostic Models for Guillain–Barré Syndrome Based on Clinical and Laboratory Indicators: A Retrospective Study

Objective: This study is aimed at developing a differential diagnostic model for Guillain–Barré syndrome (GBS) from other central nervous system diseases based on clinical and laboratory indicators. Materials and Methods: A retrospective approach was conducted for the GBS patients and patients with other neurological diseases (non‐GBS group, including viral encephalitis, peripheral neuropathy, multiple sclerosis, transverse myelitis, neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders, and myasthenia gravis). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) technique was integrated with multivariable logistic regression to perform predictor selection. The logistic regression model was established as the predictive framework, followed by the application of the Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) framework to quantify contributions of selected variables within the model. After that, patient data were collected for model validation. Results: A total of 161 patients with GBS and 644 patients with non‐GBS diseases were enrolled. Upper limb weakness, visual impairment, areflexia, hyperreflexia, total bilirubin (TBIL), mean corpusular hemoglobin (MCH), platelet large cell ratio (P‐LCR), cerebral spinal fluid–protein (CSF‐protein), dyslipidemia index, and oligoclonal band‐serum/cerebral spinal fluid (SOB‐CSF) emerged as independent predictors of GBS development. The logistic regression classifier demonstrated robust predictive performance, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.915 in the testing set, with an accuracy of 0.876, sensitivity of 0.823, and specificity of 0.889. Conclusion: We developed and validated a logistic regression model incorporating multiple clinical indicators to differentiate GBS from other inflammatory neurological disorders (including MS, NMOSD, MG, TM, VE, and PN). The model demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy (AUC 0.92), supporting its potential as a supplementary tool for clinical decision‐making.

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Journal
Acta Neurologica Scandinavica
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1155/ane/2317870
Primary Topic
Peripheral Neuropathies and Disorders
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Development and Validation of a Differential Diagnostic Models for Guillain–Barré Syndrome Based on Clinical and Laboratory Indicators: A Retrospective Study

Wencan Jiang, Po‐Hao Feng, Yaowei Ding, Kelin Chen et al.
Acta Neurologica Scandinavica
Peripheral Neuropathies and Disorders
article

Development and Validation of a Differential Diagnostic Models for Guillain–Barré Syndrome Based on Clinical and Laboratory Indicators: A Retrospective Study

Wencan Jiang, Po‐Hao Feng, Yaowei Ding, Kelin Chen, Haoran Li, Xiaoxuan Yin, Xin Luan, Yifei Wang, Xiaotong Li, Guojun Zhang, Chenxu Wang, Siwen Li, Yuxin Chen, Lijuan Wang
article en

Abstract

Objective: This study is aimed at developing a differential diagnostic model for Guillain–Barré syndrome (GBS) from other central nervous system diseases based on clinical and laboratory indicators. Materials and Methods: A retrospective approach was conducted for the GBS patients and patients with other neurological diseases (non‐GBS group, including viral encephalitis, peripheral neuropathy, multiple sclerosis, transverse myelitis, neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders, and myasthenia gravis). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) technique was integrated with multivariable logistic regression to perform predictor selection. The logistic regression model was established as the predictive framework, followed by the application of the Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) framework to quantify contributions of selected variables within the model. After that, patient data were collected for model validation. Results: A total of 161 patients with GBS and 644 patients with non‐GBS diseases were enrolled. Upper limb weakness, visual impairment, areflexia, hyperreflexia, total bilirubin (TBIL), mean corpusular hemoglobin (MCH), platelet large cell ratio (P‐LCR), cerebral spinal fluid–protein (CSF‐protein), dyslipidemia index, and oligoclonal band‐serum/cerebral spinal fluid (SOB‐CSF) emerged as independent predictors of GBS development. The logistic regression classifier demonstrated robust predictive performance, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.915 in the testing set, with an accuracy of 0.876, sensitivity of 0.823, and specificity of 0.889. Conclusion: We developed and validated a logistic regression model incorporating multiple clinical indicators to differentiate GBS from other inflammatory neurological disorders (including MS, NMOSD, MG, TM, VE, and PN). The model demonstrated high diagnostic accuracy (AUC 0.92), supporting its potential as a supplementary tool for clinical decision‐making.

Acta Neurologica ScandinavicaVol. 2025(1)
Beijing Tian Tan Hospital (CN), Beijing Biocytogen (China) (CN), National Institutes for Food and Drug Control (CN)
Beijing Hospital Authority, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Beijing Association for Science and Technology
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Peripheral Neuropathies and Disorders
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