Electricity Demand Model for Climate Change Analysis in Systems with High Integration of Wind and Solar Energy

A novel model of the electrical demand of a power system capable of representing the hourly power load and its dependence on temperature is presented. The application of the model to the Colombian system is described with an evaluation of the error obtained. For the simulation of the optimal operation of systems with high renewable energy participation, a model such as the one presented is of vital importance in order to take into account the dependence of demand on meteorological variables. It is also necessary for the simulation of the expected effects of climate change on electricity demand.

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Published
2025-08-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025101010
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Electricity Demand Model for Climate Change Analysis in Systems with High Integration of Wind and Solar Energy

Guillermo Flieller, Guillermo Jiménez‐Estévez, Juanita Acosta Cortes, Vanina Camacho et al.
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Electricity Demand Model for Climate Change Analysis in Systems with High Integration of Wind and Solar Energy

Guillermo Flieller, Guillermo Jiménez‐Estévez, Juanita Acosta Cortes, Vanina Camacho, Ruben Chaer, Marcelo Silvera
article en

Abstract

A novel model of the electrical demand of a power system capable of representing the hourly power load and its dependence on temperature is presented. The application of the model to the Colombian system is described with an evaluation of the error obtained. For the simulation of the optimal operation of systems with high renewable energy participation, a model such as the one presented is of vital importance in order to take into account the dependence of demand on meteorological variables. It is also necessary for the simulation of the expected effects of climate change on electricity demand.

Universidad de Los Andes (CO), Universidad de la República de Uruguay (UY), National Administration of Power Plants and Electrical Transmissions (Uruguay) (UY), Administracion de los Servicios de Salud del Estado (UY), Universidad ORT Uruguay (UY), Universidad de Montevideo (UY)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 82%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Electricity Demand Model for Climate Change Analysis in Systems with High Integration of Wind and Solar Energy — Guillermo Flieller, Guillermo Jiménez‐Estévez, et al. · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS