Hyperparameter Optimization of Neural Networks Using Grid Search for Predicting HVAC Heating Coil Performance

Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems represent a significant portion of global energy use, yet they are often operated without optimized control strategies. This study explores the application of deep learning to accurately model heating system behavior as a foundation for predictive control and energy-efficient HVAC operation. Experimental data were collected under controlled laboratory conditions, and 288 unique hyperparameter configurations were developed. Each configuration was tested three times, resulting in a total of 864 artificial neural network models. Five key hyperparameters were varied systematically: number of epochs, network size, network shape, learning rate, and optimizer. The best-performing model achieved a mean squared error of 0.469 and featured 17 hidden layers, a left-triangle architecture trained for 500 epochs with a learning rate of 5 × 10−5, and Adam as the optimizer. The results highlighted the importance of hyperparameter tuning in improving model accuracy. Future research should extend the analysis to incorporate cooling operation and real-world building operation data for broader applicability.