A Channel Centerline-Based Method for Modeling Turbidity Currents Morphodynamics: Case Study of the Baco–Malaylay Submarine Canyon System

Turbidity currents pose significant threats to offshore seabed infrastructures, including subsea hydrocarbon production facilities and submarine communication cables. These powerful underwater flows can damage pipelines, potentially causing hydrocarbon spills that endanger local communities, the environment, and negatively impact energy production infrastructures. Therefore, a comprehensive understanding of the spatio-temporal development and destructive force of turbidity currents is essential. While numerical computation of 3D flow, sediment transport, and substrate exchange is possible, field-scale simulations are computationally intensive. In this study, we develop a simplified morphodynamic approach to model the flow properties of channelized turbidity currents and the associated trends of sediment accretion and erosion. This model is applied to the Baco–Malaylay submarine system to investigate the dynamics of a significant turbidity current event that impacted a submarine pipeline offshore the Philippines. The modeling results align with available seabed assessments and observed erosion trends of the protective rock berm. Our simplified modeling approach shows good agreement with simulations from a fully 3D numerical model, demonstrating its effectiveness in providing valuable insights while reducing computational demands.