Did the Plaza Accord cause Japan's real estate bubble?

Abstract In 1985 the international exchange rate intervention known as the “Plaza Accord” was carried out between the G‐5 countries, the US, Japan, Germany, France, and the UK. In this study I employ the synthetic control method to examine if there was a causal effect of the Plaza Accord on residential housing prices in Japan. Following the agreement Japan experienced a bubble in urban real estate and the stock market. I find small and insignificant effects of the Plaza Accord on real housing prices in the several years following it, providing evidence that the Accord did not exacerbate the bubble.

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Publication Details

Journal
Contemporary Economic Policy
Published
2025-08-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/coep.70003
Primary Topic
Housing Market and Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Did the Plaza Accord cause Japan's real estate bubble?

Jedediah Pida‐Reese
Contemporary Economic Policy
Housing Market and Economics
article

Did the Plaza Accord cause Japan's real estate bubble?

Jedediah Pida‐Reese
article en

Abstract

Abstract In 1985 the international exchange rate intervention known as the “Plaza Accord” was carried out between the G‐5 countries, the US, Japan, Germany, France, and the UK. In this study I employ the synthetic control method to examine if there was a causal effect of the Plaza Accord on residential housing prices in Japan. Following the agreement Japan experienced a bubble in urban real estate and the stock market. I find small and insignificant effects of the Plaza Accord on real housing prices in the several years following it, providing evidence that the Accord did not exacerbate the bubble.

Contemporary Economic Policy
Texas Tech University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 73%
Housing Market and Economics
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