A Comprehensive Framework for Predicting Credit Defaults Using Ensemble Methods

In this Work, we why not take care of how to foresee credit hazard in the Home Credit rivalry utilizing machine learning. The objective is to evaluate the likelihood of loan defaults using feature engineering and a model ensemble consisting of LightGBM and CatBoost. The dataset consists of personal, financial and credit bureau attributes, which are converted into useful features. We use stratified k-fold cross-validation to increase the robustness of our models and we apply a voting ensemble approach to obtain a better prediction accuracy. The last model shows a good AUC score indicating that ensemble learning is beneficial for assessing credit risk and to help the lender with informed decision making.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3745133.3745234
Primary Topic
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A Comprehensive Framework for Predicting Credit Defaults Using Ensemble Methods

Xinyu Fang, Q. Yang, Yi Zhu, Yutao Guo et al.
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
article

A Comprehensive Framework for Predicting Credit Defaults Using Ensemble Methods

Xinyu Fang, Q. Yang, Yi Zhu, Yutao Guo, L. Meng, Jiahua Yang
article en

Abstract

In this Work, we why not take care of how to foresee credit hazard in the Home Credit rivalry utilizing machine learning. The objective is to evaluate the likelihood of loan defaults using feature engineering and a model ensemble consisting of LightGBM and CatBoost. The dataset consists of personal, financial and credit bureau attributes, which are converted into useful features. We use stratified k-fold cross-validation to increase the robustness of our models and we apply a voting ensemble approach to obtain a better prediction accuracy. The last model shows a good AUC score indicating that ensemble learning is beneficial for assessing credit risk and to help the lender with informed decision making.

Australian National University (AU), The University of Sydney (AU), Chinese University of Hong Kong (HK), Columbia University (US)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Financial Distress and Bankruptcy Prediction
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