SCIENTIFIC APPROACHES AND POTENTIAL FOR RESILIENCE OF AGRO-INDUSTRIAL MARKETS SYSTEMS IN THE CONDITIONS OF MODERN CHALLENGES

Topicality. The war in Ukraine led to the emergence of a number of security threats and shocks, adaptation to which has become one of the important conditions for the functioning of national markets. The ability of agro-industrial market systems to respond to threats and challenges depends on their structural and behavioral characteristics, resources, and the effectiveness of mechanisms of influence and interaction. Research into the threat resilience potential of market systems will allow us to identify the ways and sources of its formation and implementation, mobilization of internal resources, creating a basis for resistance to shocks. Analysis of the threat resilience of agro-industrial market systems based on international experience is important for fulfilling the tasks of the Recovery Plan and strategic documents of Ukraine in the security sector, and modernization of management technologies. Aim and tasks. The purpose of the article is to substantiate the methodological approach and elements of the potential for threat resistance of agro-industrial market systems in the war and post-war period. The objectives of the study: to determine the essence of scientific approaches to interpreting the content of the resilience of economic systems; to analyze modern definitions of threat resistance of systems in the context of an evolutionary approach; to investigate the theory of changes in the resilience of market systems and its methodical support; to determine the components of the potential for threat resistance of agro-industrial market systems. Materials and Methods. The results of theoretical generalization of scientific works, methodical approaches in the direction of formation and implementation of resilience of economic and market systems, assessment of their structural and behavioral characteristics, determination of elements of threat resistance potential of agro-industrial market systems and their connection with national stability, which are covered in publications of fundamental and applied nature, strategic documents of Ukrainian and international institutions, form the information and methodical basis of the study. To solve the tasks set, the following methods were used: generalization, system analysis, induction, deduction, synthesis, grouping, abstract-logical. Research results. The content of two approaches to the interpretation of the resilience of economic systems is determined: equilibrium and evolutionary. It is established that the evolutionary approach dominates in modern studies of international and domestic institutions. The author's definition of market resilience is proposed: the ability of vertically adjacent commodity market systems to flexibly respond to external influences, recover and adapt to a changing environment through internal restructuring. In the context of the evolutionary approach, agro-industrial markets can be considered as a complex adaptive ecosystem of network connections and interactions of subjects of adjacent and related markets. This approach allows us to study the reaction of market systems to exogenous influences, which is manifested in changes in their certain characteristics, and to develop measures to strengthen the resilience of commodity markets. The theory of changes in the resilience of market systems is studied, according to which the ability of systems to transform and ensure resilience can be determined in the coordinates of 4 structural (connection, diversification, power dynamics, rule of law) and 4 behavioral (cooperation, competition, decision-making, business strategy) characteristics. Indicator systems for assessing the structural and behavioral characteristics of market systems using the MSRA (Market System Resilience Assessment) methodology are analyzed. The internal and external resilience potential of market systems, its connections with food, foreign economic and national security of the state are substantiated. The implementation of internal potential involves the development of domestic markets for deep processing of raw materials, the emergence of new adjacent markets and new connections in market systems. The integration of domestic agro-industrial markets into international value chains, taking into account national interests, determines the possibilities of implementing the external resilience potential of market systems. Two components of the potential are distinguished: “built-in” (natural) and “acquired” (developed) resilience of agro-industrial market systems due to balanced state policy in the internal and external dimensions. Conclusion. The scientific novelty lies in the development of a methodological approach for studying the threat resistance of agro-industrial market systems, which is based on the evolutionary approach and economic theory of complexity, assessing the dynamics of market systems in terms of 8 structural and behavioral characteristics using the MSRA method, determining the components of the internal and external potential of market resilience and ways of its implementation in the security dimension. The obtained research results form a scientific and methodological basis for the development of adaptive mechanisms of public administration to ensure the resilience of strategic markets in the war and post-war period.