Identifying the Onset and Magnitude of Prediction From Early Cognitive Skills to Adult Socioeconomic Outcomes

The goal of this study was to identify the onset and magnitude of prediction of early cognition to adult socioeconomic outcomes. Specifically, we were interested in examining which cognitive skills measured at 15, 24, 36, and 54 months predict educational attainment and salary at age 26. Data (N = 1364, 52% male) included a diverse sample (76% White; 13% Black; 6% Hispanic; 5% other; 21% had incomes no greater than 200% of the poverty level). Results indicated that a relatively large change in explained variance in educational attainment by cognitive skills occurs between 15 and 36 months, with less pronounced associations for salary at age 26. These findings have implications for developmental theory, and potentially, for identifying targets for intervention efforts.

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Publication Details

Journal
Child Development
Published
2025-08-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/cdev.70006
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Early Childhood Education and Development
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
17.85

Funders

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article

Identifying the Onset and Magnitude of Prediction From Early Cognitive Skills to Adult Socioeconomic Outcomes

Deborah Lowe Vandell, Sara A. Schmitt, Tanya M. Paes, Robert J. Duncan
2 citations
Child Development
Early Childhood Education and Development
17.85
article

Identifying the Onset and Magnitude of Prediction From Early Cognitive Skills to Adult Socioeconomic Outcomes

Deborah Lowe Vandell, Sara A. Schmitt, Tanya M. Paes, Robert J. Duncan
article en
2 citations

Abstract

The goal of this study was to identify the onset and magnitude of prediction of early cognition to adult socioeconomic outcomes. Specifically, we were interested in examining which cognitive skills measured at 15, 24, 36, and 54 months predict educational attainment and salary at age 26. Data (N = 1364, 52% male) included a diverse sample (76% White; 13% Black; 6% Hispanic; 5% other; 21% had incomes no greater than 200% of the poverty level). Results indicated that a relatively large change in explained variance in educational attainment by cognitive skills occurs between 15 and 36 months, with less pronounced associations for salary at age 26. These findings have implications for developmental theory, and potentially, for identifying targets for intervention efforts.

Child DevelopmentVol. 96(6)
St. Jude Children's Research Hospital (US), University of Oregon (US), University of California, Irvine (US), Oregon Department of Education (US), Irvine University (US), Colorado State University (US)
Charles Stewart Mott Foundation, University of California, Irvine, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development
No poverty
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Early Childhood Education and Development
17.85
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Identifying the Onset and Magnitude of Prediction From Early Cognitive Skills to Adult Socioeconomic Outcomes — Deborah Lowe Vandell, Sara A. Schmitt, et al. · Child Development (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS