Optimal Control Analysis of Onchocerciasis Through Multiple Integrated Control Measures

ABSTRACT Onchocerciasis, also known as river blindness, is a vector‐borne disease caused by Onchocerca volvulus and transmitted by infected female blackflies. It affects millions of people globally, with the greatest impact in sub‐Saharan Africa. In this study, we develop a deterministic mathematical model that integrates multiple control measures, including sterile insect technique (SIT), mechanical control, chemical control, public health education, and ivermectin treatment, to manage the transmission of onchocerciasis. We employ the next‐generation matrix method to calculate the blackfly offspring reproduction number and the basic reproduction number . Sensitivity analysis, conducted using the normalized forward sensitivity index, highlights the biting rate as the most positive influence on driving onchocerciasis dynamics, while the mortality rate of female blackflies has a significant negative impact on disease containment. To identify the optimal control strategy for onchocerciasis infections, we apply optimal control theory, considering five time‐dependent controls which are public health education, treatment, mechanical control, SIT, and chemical control. Using Pontryagin's maximum principle, we derive the optimality system for controlling onchocerciasis. By implementing forward‐backward Runge–Kutta method in Matlab, we identify the most optimal strategy for controlling, preventing, and treating onchocerciasis in both human and blackfly populations. The results suggest that a combined strategy focusing on public health education, treatment, and chemical control offers the most effective approach for combating onchocerciasis.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
Published
2025-08-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/mma.70028
Primary Topic
Insects and Parasite Interactions
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Optimal Control Analysis of Onchocerciasis Through Multiple Integrated Control Measures

Joshua A. Mwasunda, Jacob I. Irunde, Mohamedi S. Manjenga
Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
Insects and Parasite Interactions
article

Optimal Control Analysis of Onchocerciasis Through Multiple Integrated Control Measures

Joshua A. Mwasunda, Jacob I. Irunde, Mohamedi S. Manjenga
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Onchocerciasis, also known as river blindness, is a vector‐borne disease caused by Onchocerca volvulus and transmitted by infected female blackflies. It affects millions of people globally, with the greatest impact in sub‐Saharan Africa. In this study, we develop a deterministic mathematical model that integrates multiple control measures, including sterile insect technique (SIT), mechanical control, chemical control, public health education, and ivermectin treatment, to manage the transmission of onchocerciasis. We employ the next‐generation matrix method to calculate the blackfly offspring reproduction number and the basic reproduction number . Sensitivity analysis, conducted using the normalized forward sensitivity index, highlights the biting rate as the most positive influence on driving onchocerciasis dynamics, while the mortality rate of female blackflies has a significant negative impact on disease containment. To identify the optimal control strategy for onchocerciasis infections, we apply optimal control theory, considering five time‐dependent controls which are public health education, treatment, mechanical control, SIT, and chemical control. Using Pontryagin's maximum principle, we derive the optimality system for controlling onchocerciasis. By implementing forward‐backward Runge–Kutta method in Matlab, we identify the most optimal strategy for controlling, preventing, and treating onchocerciasis in both human and blackfly populations. The results suggest that a combined strategy focusing on public health education, treatment, and chemical control offers the most effective approach for combating onchocerciasis.

Mathematical Methods in the Applied SciencesVol. 48(16)
Iringa Mercy Organization (TZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 74%
Insects and Parasite Interactions
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Optimal Control Analysis of Onchocerciasis Through Multiple Integrated Control Measures — Joshua A. Mwasunda, Jacob I. Irunde, et al. · Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS