UrbanMind: Urban Dynamics Prediction with Multifaceted Spatial-Temporal Large Language Models

Understanding and predicting urban dynamics is crucial for managing transportation systems, optimizing urban planning, and enhancing public services. While neural network-based approaches have achieved success, they often rely on task-specific architectures and large volumes of data, limiting their ability to generalize across diverse urban scenarios. Meanwhile, Large Language Models (LLMs) offer strong reasoning and generalization capabilities, yet their application to spatial-temporal urban dynamics remains underexplored. Existing LLM-based methods struggle to effectively integrate multifaceted spatial-temporal data and fail to address distributional shifts between training and testing data, limiting their predictive reliability in real-world applications. To bridge this gap, we propose UrbanMind, a novel spatial-temporal LLM framework for multifaceted urban dynamics prediction that ensures both accurate forecasting and robust generalization. At its core, UrbanMind introduces Muffin-MAE, a multifaceted fusion masked autoencoder with specialized masking strategies that capture intricate spatial-temporal dependencies and intercorrelations among multifaceted urban dynamics. Additionally, we design a semantic-aware prompting and fine-tuning strategy that encodes spatial-temporal contextual details into prompts, enhancing LLMs' ability to reason over spatial-temporal patterns. To further improve generalization, we introduce a test time adaptation mechanism with a test data reconstructor, enabling UrbanMind to dynamically adjust to unseen test data by reconstructing LLM-generated embeddings. Extensive experiments on real-world urban dynamics datasets from multiple cities demonstrate the effectiveness of UrbanMind. The results consistently show that UrbanMind outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving superior accuracy and strong generalization, even in zero-shot scenarios with no prior data.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-08-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3711896.3737177
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.01

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UrbanMind: Urban Dynamics Prediction with Multifaceted Spatial-Temporal Large Language Models

Ling Tian, Yingxue Zhang, Xin Zhang, Yuhang Liu et al.
1 citations
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
1.01
article

UrbanMind: Urban Dynamics Prediction with Multifaceted Spatial-Temporal Large Language Models

Ling Tian, Yingxue Zhang, Xin Zhang, Yuhang Liu, Yanhua Li, Jun Luo
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Understanding and predicting urban dynamics is crucial for managing transportation systems, optimizing urban planning, and enhancing public services. While neural network-based approaches have achieved success, they often rely on task-specific architectures and large volumes of data, limiting their ability to generalize across diverse urban scenarios. Meanwhile, Large Language Models (LLMs) offer strong reasoning and generalization capabilities, yet their application to spatial-temporal urban dynamics remains underexplored. Existing LLM-based methods struggle to effectively integrate multifaceted spatial-temporal data and fail to address distributional shifts between training and testing data, limiting their predictive reliability in real-world applications. To bridge this gap, we propose UrbanMind, a novel spatial-temporal LLM framework for multifaceted urban dynamics prediction that ensures both accurate forecasting and robust generalization. At its core, UrbanMind introduces Muffin-MAE, a multifaceted fusion masked autoencoder with specialized masking strategies that capture intricate spatial-temporal dependencies and intercorrelations among multifaceted urban dynamics. Additionally, we design a semantic-aware prompting and fine-tuning strategy that encodes spatial-temporal contextual details into prompts, enhancing LLMs' ability to reason over spatial-temporal patterns. To further improve generalization, we introduce a test time adaptation mechanism with a test data reconstructor, enabling UrbanMind to dynamically adjust to unseen test data by reconstructing LLM-generated embeddings. Extensive experiments on real-world urban dynamics datasets from multiple cities demonstrate the effectiveness of UrbanMind. The results consistently show that UrbanMind outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, achieving superior accuracy and strong generalization, even in zero-shot scenarios with no prior data.

Worcester Polytechnic Institute (US), Binghamton University (US), University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (CN), San Diego State University (US), Hong Kong R&D Centre for Logistics and Supply Chain Management Enabling Technologies (CN)
National Science Foundation, Innovation and Technology Commission, Innovation and Technology Fund
Sustainable cities and communities
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques
1.01
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