Simulated Infectious Diseases Datasets with Controlled Data Bias

Massive datasets related to infectious diseases became available after the COVID-19 pandemic, supporting data-driven approaches in modeling and forecasting infectious diseases. However, these approaches are known to exacerbate data biases present in the training data such as having certain demographic groups being over or underrepresented in the data. Such data collection biases may propagate through the modeling and prediction pipelines to decision-making, and the consequences are relatively unknown. Therefore, efforts are needed to understand how data collection bias affects data-driven infectious disease models. This datasets and benchmarks paper provides a suite of datasets, each corresponding to a simulated disease spread among a population of 5000 simulated agents over 90 days in Atlanta and San Francisco. For each dataset, we provide not only the full (simulated ground truth) of the disease spread in terms of when, where, and by whom the disease spreads, but also information on which cases are observed when different types and degrees of data collection bias are applied. The agents' characteristics, check-ins, and social network data are also available to support downstream tasks. Additionally, we also describe how to use the simulation to re-generate the data and to generate new datasets in different regions and with different parameters. With the provided datasets and the simulation tools, researchers studying the spread of infectious diseases may better understand, account for, and correct the systematic bias caused by the inherent real-world data bias, and hence improve the prediction of infectious diseases.

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Published
2025-08-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3711896.3737401
Primary Topic
Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications
Type
article
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article

Simulated Infectious Diseases Datasets with Controlled Data Bias

Hao Xue, David Heslop, Andreas Züfle, Taylor Anderson et al.
Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications
article

Simulated Infectious Diseases Datasets with Controlled Data Bias

Hao Xue, David Heslop, Andreas Züfle, Taylor Anderson, Matthew Scotch, Yonchanok Khaokaew, Ruochen Kong, C. Raina MacIntyre, Li Xiong, Flora Dilys Salim
article en

Abstract

Massive datasets related to infectious diseases became available after the COVID-19 pandemic, supporting data-driven approaches in modeling and forecasting infectious diseases. However, these approaches are known to exacerbate data biases present in the training data such as having certain demographic groups being over or underrepresented in the data. Such data collection biases may propagate through the modeling and prediction pipelines to decision-making, and the consequences are relatively unknown. Therefore, efforts are needed to understand how data collection bias affects data-driven infectious disease models. This datasets and benchmarks paper provides a suite of datasets, each corresponding to a simulated disease spread among a population of 5000 simulated agents over 90 days in Atlanta and San Francisco. For each dataset, we provide not only the full (simulated ground truth) of the disease spread in terms of when, where, and by whom the disease spreads, but also information on which cases are observed when different types and degrees of data collection bias are applied. The agents' characteristics, check-ins, and social network data are also available to support downstream tasks. Additionally, we also describe how to use the simulation to re-generate the data and to generate new datasets in different regions and with different parameters. With the provided datasets and the simulation tools, researchers studying the spread of infectious diseases may better understand, account for, and correct the systematic bias caused by the inherent real-world data bias, and hence improve the prediction of infectious diseases.

Emory University (US), George Mason University (US), UNSW Sydney (AU), Arizona State University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications
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