A HYBRID DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ACCURATE BITCOIN PRICE FORECASTING

The highly stochastic, nonlinear, and volatile nature of Bitcoin prices poses significant challenges for accurate forecasting using traditional statistical models. To address this, we propose a hybrid deep learning architecture that combines the strengths of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for spatial feature extraction with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), for capturing long-term temporal dependencies. This integrated framework effectively models both spatial and temporal patterns from historical Bitcoin price data. The model was trained and evaluated using real-world Bitcoin datasets.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed CNN+LSTM model outperforms traditional machine learning and standalone deep learning approaches. Specifically, it achieves a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 245.76, a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 11.45, a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 15.68%, an R² score of 0.92, and a Mean Bias Error (MBE) of 6.94. These results highlight the effectiveness and reliability of the proposed hybrid model in enhancing the accuracy and stability of financial time series forecasting, providing valuable insights for traders, investors, and financial analysts.

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Publication Details

Journal
Lahore Garrison University Research Journal of Computer Science and Information Technology
Published
2025-07-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.54692/lgurjcsit.2025.91663
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
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article

A HYBRID DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ACCURATE BITCOIN PRICE FORECASTING

Muhammad Rizwan Rashid Rana, Ali Raza, Faiza Kiran, Adnan Sagheer
Lahore Garrison University Research Journal of Computer Science and Information Technology
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

A HYBRID DEEP LEARNING MODEL FOR ACCURATE BITCOIN PRICE FORECASTING

Muhammad Rizwan Rashid Rana, Ali Raza, Faiza Kiran, Adnan Sagheer
article en

Abstract

The highly stochastic, nonlinear, and volatile nature of Bitcoin prices poses significant challenges for accurate forecasting using traditional statistical models. To address this, we propose a hybrid deep learning architecture that combines the strengths of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for spatial feature extraction with Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs), specifically Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), for capturing long-term temporal dependencies. This integrated framework effectively models both spatial and temporal patterns from historical Bitcoin price data. The model was trained and evaluated using real-world Bitcoin datasets.Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed CNN+LSTM model outperforms traditional machine learning and standalone deep learning approaches. Specifically, it achieves a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 245.76, a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 11.45, a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 15.68%, an R² score of 0.92, and a Mean Bias Error (MBE) of 6.94. These results highlight the effectiveness and reliability of the proposed hybrid model in enhancing the accuracy and stability of financial time series forecasting, providing valuable insights for traders, investors, and financial analysts.

Lahore Garrison University Research Journal of Computer Science and Information TechnologyVol. 9(1)
Pir Mehr Ali Shah Arid Agriculture University (PK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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