A Deep Learning Approach for Japanese CPI Prediction: A Multi-dimensional Time Series Analysis

This study constructs a multidimensional time series analysis model for forecasting the Japanese consumer price index (CPI) based on a deep learning approach. By analyzing historical data from 1970-2022, the study designs a forecasting framework based on LSTM and attention mechanism, which captures both time dependence and inter-category correlation of CPI. The experimental results show that compared with the traditional method, the forecasting error of this model is reduced by 32.5%, and the short-term forecasting accuracy reaches 94.2%. Energy price changes were found to have a 2-3 month leading indication for other categories. The model maintains more than 90% prediction accuracy after adding ±2% random noise, showing good stability. The research results are of great significance for improving the methodology of economic forecasting and guiding practical decision-making.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-05-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3746972.3746974
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
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A Deep Learning Approach for Japanese CPI Prediction: A Multi-dimensional Time Series Analysis

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A Deep Learning Approach for Japanese CPI Prediction: A Multi-dimensional Time Series Analysis

Kaifei Li, Ping Hao, Guo Wen-Jun, Yinuo He, Zheyu Yang, Zhirui Pang
article en

Abstract

This study constructs a multidimensional time series analysis model for forecasting the Japanese consumer price index (CPI) based on a deep learning approach. By analyzing historical data from 1970-2022, the study designs a forecasting framework based on LSTM and attention mechanism, which captures both time dependence and inter-category correlation of CPI. The experimental results show that compared with the traditional method, the forecasting error of this model is reduced by 32.5%, and the short-term forecasting accuracy reaches 94.2%. Energy price changes were found to have a 2-3 month leading indication for other categories. The model maintains more than 90% prediction accuracy after adding ±2% random noise, showing good stability. The research results are of great significance for improving the methodology of economic forecasting and guiding practical decision-making.

South-West University "Neofit Rilski" (BG), Northeast Agricultural University (CN), Shanxi University (CN), Guangdong University Of Finances and Economics (CN), Guangdong University of Finance (CN), Shanxi Science and Technology Department (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
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