High-frequency and heteroskedasticity identification in multicountry models: Revisiting spillovers of monetary shocks

Abstract We explore the international transmission of monetary policy and central bank information shocks originating from the United States and the euro area. Employing a panel vector autoregression, we use macroeconomic and financial variables across several major economies to address both static and dynamic spillovers. To identify structural shocks, we introduce a novel approach that combines external instruments with heteroskedasticity-based identification and sign restrictions. Our results suggest significant spillovers from European Central Bank and Federal Reserve policies to each other’s economies, global aggregates, and other countries. These effects are more pronounced for central bank information shocks than for pure monetary policy shocks, and the dominance of the US in the global economy is reflected in our findings.

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Publication Details

Journal
Macroeconomic Dynamics
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/s136510052510031x
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
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article

High-frequency and heteroskedasticity identification in multicountry models: Revisiting spillovers of monetary shocks

Anna Stelzer, Michael Pfarrhofer
Macroeconomic Dynamics
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

High-frequency and heteroskedasticity identification in multicountry models: Revisiting spillovers of monetary shocks

Anna Stelzer, Michael Pfarrhofer
article en

Abstract

Abstract We explore the international transmission of monetary policy and central bank information shocks originating from the United States and the euro area. Employing a panel vector autoregression, we use macroeconomic and financial variables across several major economies to address both static and dynamic spillovers. To identify structural shocks, we introduce a novel approach that combines external instruments with heteroskedasticity-based identification and sign restrictions. Our results suggest significant spillovers from European Central Bank and Federal Reserve policies to each other’s economies, global aggregates, and other countries. These effects are more pronounced for central bank information shocks than for pure monetary policy shocks, and the dominance of the US in the global economy is reflected in our findings.

Macroeconomic DynamicsVol. 29
Vienna University of Economics and Business (AT), National Bank of Austria (AT)
Openalex Percentile: Top 69%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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High-frequency and heteroskedasticity identification in multicountry models: Revisiting spillovers of monetary shocks — Anna Stelzer, Michael Pfarrhofer · Macroeconomic Dynamics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS