Forecasting Gold prices by hybrid ANFIS-based algorithm
In this article, the high accuracy and effectiveness of forecasting global gold prices are verified using a hybrid machine learning algorithm incorporating an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Gray Wolf Optimizer (GWO). The hybrid approach had successes that enabled it to be a good strategy for practical use. The ARIMA-ANFIS hybrid methodology was used to forecast global gold prices. The ARIMA model is implemented on real data, and then its nonlinear residuals are predicted by ANFIS, ANFIS-PSO, and ANFIS-GWO. The results indicate that hybrid models improve the accuracy of single ARIMA and ANFIS models in forecasting. Finally, a comparison was made between the hybrid forecasting models ARIMA-ANFIS, ARIMA-ANFIS-PSO, and ARIMA-ANFIS-GWO and the results showed the superiority of the ARIMA-ANFIS-PSO model.
Institutions
- University of Baghdad (IQ)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Iraqi statisticians journal.
- Published
- 2024-10-19
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.62933/t7mn6q71
- Primary Topic
- Stock Market Forecasting Methods
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00